PANMURE LIBERUM · APRIL 2026
WHO WINS THE
2026 WORLD CUP?
AN ECONOMETRIC MODEL THAT CALLED 2014, 2018 AND 2022 CORRECTLY — NOW RUNNING ON ALL 48 QUALIFIED NATIONS.
Joachim Klement — Panmure Liberum
JOACHIM KLEMENT
PANMURE LIBERUM
48QUALIFIED TEAMS
3CORRECT CALLS
0.55MODEL R²
TRACK RECORD
✓ WIN
2014
Germany
GERMANY
✓ WIN
2018
France
FRANCE
✓ WIN
2022
Argentina
ARGENTINA
2026 PREDICTION
Netherlands
NETHERLANDS_
FIRST WORLD CUP TITLE IN HISTORY
PATH: MOROCCO → CANADA → FRANCE → ARGENTINA → PORTUGAL
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MODEL OUTPUT ONLY. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
MODEL VARIABLES
FIFA RANKING
45%
NATL WEALTH
20%
CLIMATE
15%
POPULATION
15%
HOME EDGE
5%